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oracle3-prediction-market-agent MCP Server

YichengYang-Ethan/oracle3-prediction-market-agent

Score: 71.0 Rank #3834 MCP Server
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Oracle3: open-source trading engine and MCP server for prediction markets. Finds fee-adjusted no-arbitrage violations across related event contracts and trades them live on Kalshi, Polymarket and Solana, or on paper, under pre-trade risk limits. 13 MCP tools, JSON CLI, agent skills, 600+ tests.

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Overview

YichengYang-Ethan/oracle3-prediction-market-agent is a Python MCP server licensed under Apache-2.0. Oracle3: open-source trading engine and MCP server for prediction markets. Finds fee-adjusted no-arbitrage violations across related event contracts and trades them live on Kalshi, Polymarket and Solana, or on paper, under pre-trade risk limits. 13 MCP tools, JSON CLI, agent skills, 600+ tests. Topics: algorithmic-trading, kalshi, polymarket, python, quantitative-finance, trading-bot, arbitrage, kelly-criterion, prediction-markets, agentic-ai, ai-agents, backtesting, event-contracts, llm-agents, market-microstructure, mcp, mcp-server, paper-trading, risk-management, statistical-arbitrage.

Ranked #3834 out of 24846 indexed tools.

Ecosystem

Python Apache-2.0
algorithmic-tradingkalshipolymarketpythonquantitative-financetrading-botarbitragekelly-criterionprediction-marketsagentic-aiai-agentsbacktestingevent-contractsllm-agentsmarket-microstructuremcpmcp-serverpaper-tradingrisk-managementstatistical-arbitrage

Score Breakdown

StarsFreshnessIssue HealthContributorsDependents
Stars 15% 437

437 stars → growing community

Freshness 25% 8d ago

Last commit 8d ago → recently updated

Issue Health 25% 26%

5/19 issues closed → many open issues

Contributors 10% 6

6 contributors → small team

Dependents 25% 0

No dependents → no downstream usage

npm Downloads N/A
PyPI Downloads N/A
Forks 50
Description Detailed
License Apache-2.0

Weights: Freshness 20% · Issue Health 20% · Dependents 22% · Stars 10% · Contributors 8% · How we score →

How to Improve

Issue Health high impact

You have 14 open vs 5 closed issues — triaging stale issues improves health

Dependents medium impact

No downstream dependents detected yet — adoption by other projects is the strongest trust signal

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Matched Queries

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From the README

# Oracle3

**Oracle3 is an open-source trading engine and MCP server for prediction markets.** It maps the logical relations between event contracts, finds prices that break the axioms of probability after each venue's fees, and trades them live on Kalshi, Polymarket and Solana, or on paper, under pre-trade risk limits.

> **Trades live on Kalshi, Polymarket and Solana.** `oracle3 live run` executes with the same engine that runs paper trading, behind pre-trade risk limits and a kill switch. AI agents plug in through a 13-tool MCP server.

## At a glance

| | |
|---|---|
| Venues | Kalshi, Polymarket and Solana (DFlow) |
| Execution | Live and paper on one engine, with pre-trade risk limits, a kill switch and Jito bundle submission on Solana |
| Relations checked | implication, exclusivity, complement, same event across venues, event sum |
| Costs | Each market's own fee schedule from the venue API (Kalshi taker 0.07·M·C·P·(1−P); Polymarket taker rate·C·p·(1−p)) |
| Strategies | 6 cons
Read full README on GitHub →

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